Tiger Zinda Hai Box Office Predictions

In 2012, a tsunami known as Ek Tha Tiger arrived. This event, we can call it, destroyed all initial records in sight, a nationwide craze with even police being reported to have come in areas to control the huge crowds. It was the first film to cross the 30 crore nett mark in a single day, thus destroying the previous opening day record holder at the time!

Five years later, the team is back. Salman Khan. Katrina Kaif. YRF. But not Kabir Khan….this time, it’s Ali Abbas Zaffar, director of Sultan.

Salman Khan is the biggest star in India. Sure, Aamir Khan puts up bigger lifetime totals with record grossers, but if we are combining fan following/craze, record openings, and huge grossers, then Salman Khan is the biggest. He may have delivered a box office flop earlier this year in the form of Tubelight, but the reason for that was just exactly that: Salman Khan was not presented in his superstar avatar in the film!

With Tiger Zinda Hai, Salman returns in the form that his fans, and all of India, love best: the macho, action hero image. The image that sends masses into a frenzy. He reunites in the film with Katrina Kaif, the superstar who still looks like a million bucks and shows no signs of aging!

Tiger Zinda Hai Box Office Predictions

The trailer received a tremendous response. Two of the songs that have been released are chartbusters. The craze is huge. Is there any doubt as to how this film will fare at the box office? To say that the film will be huge is an understatement. This one is going to be an earth-shattering success!

History has shown that when the biggest film production company in India, Yash Raj Films, makes a big-budget extravaganza event with a superstar Khan, all initial records are destroyed. Ek Tha Tiger and Dhoom 3 showed that. Sultan had a more rural look to it as compared to the international look of Ek Tha Tiger and Dhoom 3, but it also managed the second highest opening day ever and the biggest 3-day opening weekend ever at the time of its release.

Actually, I feel that there are more similarities comparing Tiger Zinda Hai with Dhoom 3. Both films are/were Christmas releases, part of a franchise, carry an international/grand look, starred Katrina Kaif, have/had non-holiday opening weekends (before Christmas itself), and clashed with a non-Hindi film. Dhoom 3 clashed with Bengali film Chander Pahar (which released on the same day in West Bengal and released throughout India the following week), whereas Tiger Zinda Hai will clash with a couple other films, arguably the biggest one though being the sequel of Chander Pahar, Amazon Obhijaan. However, there is no comparison, as the all-India craze for Tiger Zinda Hai is much higher than any of the other films it’s clashing with, including Amazon Obhijaan. Just as how Dhoom 3 broke the opening day and opening weekend record with no holidays, I feel that Tiger Zinda Hai will do the same.

With all of that said, there is one mission that these big YRF/Khan collaborations can’t seem to achieve, and that is of the BIG ONE: the lifetime record. The hurdle in this case, has always been a film of Mr. Perfectionist, Aamir Khan. Ek Tha Tiger became the second biggest grosser, falling short of Aamir’s 3 Idiots. As a matter of fact, before the release of Ek Tha Tiger, I had predicted the same with a 180+ crore nett lifetime prediction, and the film ended up finishing with a lifetime total of 186 crore nett. Sultan became the third highest grosser ever, falling short of Aamir’s PK and Salman’s own Bajrangi Bhaijaan. Dhoom 3 did become the highest grosser ever, but that starred Aamir himself!

Whether it’s 3 Idiots, PK, and now Dangal, the fact is that the All-India public Word of Mouth for these Aamir films were extraordinary. These big YRF/Khan action films, on the other hand, tend to be fully loaded with earth-shattering openings, but then missing out on the lifetime record due to mixed-to-positive (not extraordinary) All-India public Word of Mouth. I’m expecting the exact same with Tiger Zinda Hai, with the film falling short of the lifetime Hindi film record of Aamir’s Dangal. Nothing to criticize though, as Tiger Zinda Hai will still be a mammoth, roaring box office success!

My Box Office Predictions for Tiger Zinda Hai:

  • Opening Day: 41 crore nett
  • Opening Weekend (Fri-Sun): 128 crore nett
  • Lifetime Collections: 360 crore nett
  • Overall Verdict: All Time Blockbuster

This Christmas, Tiger returns….to destroy the box office!

The article has been written by Bobby Sidhu who is a box office enthusiast and have an internship in a tax firm in Canada. You can follow him on Twitter Bobby Sidhu.

Disclaimer: The views expressed by the writer do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of Bollywood Arena. If you also want to write for us, send your articles on [email protected] 

119 comments on “Tiger Zinda Hai Box Office Predictions”

    1. Bobby sidhu always gives worst predictions......
      But this one seems to be true..
      Let's hope TZH becomes a mammoth success...

      1. How would u define khans now?

        Khan Duo (Aamir n Salman)
        Khan Trio/Trinity (Aamir, Salman n Srk)

        Hit like for Khan Duo n Dislike for Khan Trio
        Hurry now…….

        52 25 ?

        This poll results r out.........
        Khan Duo wins the hands down.....

        It means srk is out from the mighty Khans league

        Now Khan Duo rules (Aamir n Salman)....

        1. All Khans 4 movies combined total in 2017 is 270Cr .... Single Prabhas dubbed version is 511 Cr ???.

          Just wait and see my predictions are mostly true.

          1. All Khans (4 movies) combined total in 2017 is 370Cr …. Single Prabhas's dubbed version is 511 Cr ???.

            Just wait and see my predictions are mostly true.

    2. Lol tera name jeet kisne rakha hai i think tere parents se glti ho gayi name choose krne mein nd ......if you know what i mean ??@jeet

    3. To shut fake IDs stinking mouth:

      According to trade analyst Taran Adarsh, Tiger Zinda Hai is expected to break all records as its advance booking has opened to thunderous response with several housefull shows. He wrote, "Well begun is half done... #TigerZindaHai advance booking opens with a BIG ROAR... Several shows housefull at several centres... Expect a toofani start on Friday... #Salmania"

      That is multi Mega Stardom!

  1. 360 cr ka matlab 3 akki movies ka collection 1 movie mein achieve karega Salman megastar

    TZH domestic collections > TEPK + Padman + Jolly LLB 2 domestic collections

    Worldwide equation to aur bhi multiple times hoga

    1. Christmas release or mass action movie bacha lega pure commercial movie hai or aise movie India me chalti hi hai bhale story week ho
      My prediction tzh 240cr
      Race 3 130cr
      Bharat 90cr
      Dabang 3 120cr

      1. Lol 2.0 aapke pita shri astrologers hai jo bina trailer dekhe 2019 ki prediction kr raha hai btw sharam nahi aati tujhe itni bezzati krwata hai phir muh uthaa k aa jaata hai..jaa bhai apne maa baap pe reham kr aur futt yahan se @2.0

    2. Don't do that....I am also Salman fan but pls don't degrade other actors.....Appreciate each other..Pls....

  2. Bollyarena your prediction will be totally wrong,,,,,,billi zinda hai sureshot flop hogi,,,,
    1st day collection max. 30- 35 cr
    And weekend 102 -105cr...
    And lifetime will be maximum 180cr...

    1. Dilwale 1st day 22cr ..clash with Bajirao Mastani and only 3100 screens also too much negativity and shows cancel ..

      To tiger Zinda hai 4500 screens hai solo hai mtlb below 35cr opening Kia to Salman fir se Srk se haar jaega hahahaha

    2. it will do that much business in first 5 days...the advance bookings shows that....

      Jai ho did 115 cr....kick 220 cr...
      then BB 320 cr.....sultan 300cr....tl 120cr....

      Then how can u predict it will be flop ??....woh bhi without seeing it........it just shows your hatred and jealously only......Not good for anyone for future....

      Film will earn ...howmuch.....depends on it's merit......But more than 200 crs that's for sure.....

      Aaj kal koi bhi kissi ko gali de sakta hai.....dhany ho aap sab.....

    3. Just for Fun as Arena don't seem in the mood to post comments!!!
      First and last time will also try this poll votings!!

      Its now evident Aamir Sir who has been one of the 4 usual EDX Suspects... Am sure now there will be a fair sharing of release dates amongst all the top stars.



    4. King tujhe bhi lagta hai bezzati krwane mein maza aata hai agar 3 din mein itni collection kr gayi toh apna name bikhari rakh liyo?? @king... my foot

      1. Aur Teri aukat kya h kisi ki bejjati krne ki aur apne maa baap se jak thodi tameej seekh le jak,,,,@arjun criminal k fan,,,,,

    5. @king, hahahahah.... You are predicting 30-35 crs on opening day and 102-105 crs in opening weekend but ur fav actor never crossed 100 crs on a weekend... ?
      HNY (actual - 93 crs)
      CE (actual - 94 crs without previews)
      ? ? ? ? ? keep ? urself

  3. First week me hi bundle ho jayegi,,,,,
    Kyuki ise b 1.5 star hi review milega jaisi local star salman k isb filmo ko milta h,,,,
    Another fuselight in a row,,,,,

  4. "Salman is the biggest star of india." Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha. What a joke. Can't stop laughing. Aamir is much much bigger star than salman. Salman 16 saal se aamir ka record chase kar raha hai. Give aamir out and out holiday and out and out commercial movie he will thrash each and every openinh day records as well. The reasons his recent movies except dhoom 3 didn't have biggest opener is only because they were released on non holiday and were non commercial. Dhoom 3 shattered all records even on non holiday. That proves who is biggest star. Let Salman break dhoom 3 opening record on non holiday first. Then talk.
    Inducing and bollyarena are salman's paid sites. Thats all.

  5. Mr. Bobby; yes Salman's movie fail to cross Aamir's movie collection, but you forget to mention 2 important points:
    1st: All these Aamir movies releases at the time of Christmas and New Year Holidays, which has more Holidays as compare to EID.
    2nd: All these Aamir movies gets 3-4 weeks of open run, which Salman's movies never get.....

    Bajrangi Bhaijaan faced competition from very 1st day with Baahubali (I hope you know how big that movie was) and after 2 weeks Drishyam came....So it fall short (18cr) to cross PK collection (you can understand with same benefits like PK, BB easily cross 350cr), though BB cross WW collection of PK (in 1st Phase).

    Sultan got only 1 week of free run, after that GGM came which took plenty of Screens from Sultan....Still it cross 300cr mark.

    And ETT total lifetime collection was 199cr (not 186cr), (keep your facts right), that too in EID time, so if it release on Christmas period and get Christmas & New Year Holidays and also 3 open weeks then it will easily cross 3 Idiot lifetime collection which was 202cr.....

    Aamir always lucky that he got Christmas release and in Jan no big movie releases, so he easily get 3-4 open weeks......

    If TZH got Positive WOM and 3-4 open weeks, and then it fail to cross Dangal then I agree with you.....

    1. Bhai.. What happened in Xmas, 2012.. Dabbang-2 ke time? Sequel film.. Free run.. phir bhi 3 saal purana 3idiots ka record tod nayi paya!!!!

      1. because dabangg2 bakwaas film thi.. easily one of Salmans worst in last decade.. along with jai ho and tubelight.. but wht was interesting is the opening week.. mammoth!

  6. Highest holiday opening
    PRDP ? ₹39.32cr
    Highest partial holiday opening
    Sultan ? ₹36.59cr
    Highest non-holiday opening
    Dhoom 3 ? ₹32.48cr

    TZH surely cross Dhoom 3 first day collection, and then all 1st day records will belong to Salman Khan......

  7. My predictions of tiger zinda hai is...with good wom 350 crore and with excellent wom 400 crore

  8. In the mean time:
    Swag Se Swagat became the "Fastest Bollywood Song to cross 100M Views" on Youtube, and it already cross 1M likes.....

    Top 5 Fastest Bollywood songs which cross 100M Views:
    1. Swag Se Swagat - 25 days
    2. The Humma Song - 41 days
    3. Badri Ki Dulhania (Title Track) - 45 days
    4. Laila Main Laila - 46 days
    5. Tamma Tamma Again - 58 days

    Parshya Aunty ki Jaal Rahi hogi.....HaHaHa

  9. LOL. Bobby sidhu isn't he the same guy who predicted 250 cr for tubelight aka fuselight??? ?????. He predicted that much and it ended up with 120 cr. So it was 130 cr less. Going by the same trend let's subtract 130 cr from 360 cr and it will be 230 cr for billi zinda hai. LOL.

    1. Dj pehle apna name use kr dj toh mere doggy kaa name hai plz name change krle meri doggy ki bezzati ho jaati hai tere iss name se?? @DJ

  10. I think Dangal record will be safe buy opening weekend collections am 85% with the Author except for lifetime. If it happens than Wow that will be a massive massive achievement!!
    Am going for lifetime 325.

    1. Will keep on repeating in every Salman article still... Dabbang 3 is the movie that will break into some heck of New box office records!! That movie is going to be unstoppable!! While guaranteed 2 other Biggies Popular upcoming Action Franchises 2019 will break 40 cr at minimum on their opening day while If Yash raj can concentrate and wrap up Dhoom 4 by 2019 too then we are talking about the best year for Box office business 2019!!

      1. Not to forget the likes of Kesaria, Tanaji and H4 which are looking as potential huge movies if all parameters are well placed. 2019 will be Hot!!!

  11. Trade log analysis me sab kuch dete hai par ye kyun nahi kehte
    ETT EID ke din release hue thi baad me independece day,rakhshabandan tha.
    **ETT holiday ke din release hue thi**par TZH non holiday release hai

    toh phir 41cr kaha se ayenge?ETT 32cr ki opening di thi holiday pe aur 2013 me D3 ne 36cr(Producer)
    di thi wo bhi non holiday ko toh kaunsi badi baat hai ETT ki opening me.
    sach me sallu fans itni hype karte hai aur bakwas prediction karte hai

    1. Parshya aunty toh apne bag pack kr rahi hai as page chhod degi agar 3 day mein 100 cr kr gyi toh?? @parshya aunty

    2. @Parshya chal maan liya ETT ka collection 32 crs tha holiday pe, par ek saal baad ayi CE sirf 22 lakhs hi zyada kamayi wo bhi eid k din to tujhe koi fark nahi dikhta kya ?, Dhoom 3, a brand, the biggest franchise of bollywood xmas, tickets were hiked the highest ever, but just 4 crs more, waise tune producer ka to mention kar diya par trade ka kyun nahi ? sharam arahi thi kya ? ? ? ? ?

      1. @Parshya chal maan liya ETT ka collection 32 crs tha holiday pe (was in ramadan) , par ek saal baad ayi CE sirf 22 lakhs hi zyada kamayi wo bhi eid k din to tujhe koi fark nahi dikhta kya ?, Dhoom 3, a brand, the biggest franchise of bollywood xmas, tickets were hiked the highest ever, but just 4 crs more, waise tune producer ka to mention kar diya par trade ka kyun nahi ? sharam arahi thi kya

  12. For me 1st day should be 40+cr keeping the current Buzz in mind......
    1st weekend (3 days) I am expecting 115cr (with Positive WOM)
    Lifetime should be 370+cr (it can also cross Dangal lifetime with Positive WOM) and it may cross 400cr mark but only with Extremely Positive WOM (like BB, Dangal).....

  13. film me kuchh naya nahi phir bhi sab
    film ki badai kar rahe hain. kuchh to gad bad hai * daya kuchh to gad bad hai *

  14. Bobby vai ke prediction dek kar some heters ki need haram hogeyi. Specially,,, king,,,abhi,,,,parshaya,,,,,,ha ha ha

  15. king aur jeet tum dono m s next sunday bt karungaa bc tatti khate hoo kyaa
    salaa waise hi box office ki maa bhan hui hai
    aur tum log aur aa jate ho

    ager dum hai naa toa next monday
    king aur jeet naam s hi comment krnaa bc??

  16. woww.. well written article!!!
    Salman is the biggest superstar by miles!!
    TZH will cross 400crs..!!!!
    Roarrrrr the Tiger!!!

  17. For box office business 2018... 2 movies will be the one grabbing headlines.. 2.0 and TOH, records would be broken for sure. Srk sir Next has a very chocking date that December unless mutual agreement can be ensured but am way more confident with his Dhoom 4 as a sure banker though for now its about 2 casts been speculated every single day but most likely SRK sir will get the nod confirm ✊

  18. Opening day - 40crs+
    Lifetime - 400Crs+ (with very good WOM)

    1) Salman Khan
    2) Huge Scale film with seemingly emotional & good plot
    3) Salman-Katrina
    4) Sequel of Blockbuster ETT
    5) Xmas & New Year Holidays are on Mondays

    Average (mixed) WOM - 300Crs+
    Good WOM - 350Crs+
    Very good WOM - 400Crs+

  19. Honest Prediction

    Extremely +ve WOM
    Life time-330cr............still will not beat PK

    Good/mixed WOM
    Life time-280cr

    Poor WOM
    Life time-190cr

    1. Parshya mine too is the same with your 1st figure.. Predicted 325 cr but I will be happy if it crosses it. But the buzz of the movie is very solid!!

        Lets See..

        I will be a Sallu Fan forever but only on following 2 conditions
        1.First Day-40/40cr+
        2.Life Time-390cr+

        1. Gosh you have started again??.

          No it has to be 1 option above!!
          Either 1st day or lifetime!!
          Let me choose for you.... 1st day bet!

        2. tuje maine bohut baar kaha hai.. tu aamir ke saat hi reh..
          for salman hum log hai.. agar tu bhi aayega tho aamir ke paas phir sirf ganta rahega :D

  20. My Prediction

    *Kuch sallu fans isko bhi block buster bolenge
    *maine toh ek bande ka comment pada tha wo
    bol raha tha Tubelight blockbuster thi


    1. Maine bhi tere kaafi comments padhe the jisme tu bola ki Secret Superstar will thrash Golmaal Again... Secret Superstar 110 crore golmaal again 90 crore.
      Maine Secret Superstar ke har flop song pe tera "Nice Song" wala comment dekha hai.

      1. What @Parshya ? is that what you predicted for GA!!! How comes I never came across it!!
        Frm today... You and I..Kaati ??!!

        1. @Temp
          Show me where i had said SS Aamirs cameo movie will trash Golmaal again?

          I never said that,only i was predicting that SS may collect 100cr

  21. Salman Khan simply doesn't have the strength of the international following that Aamir Khan (star of PK and Dangal) enjoys, and  Tiger Zinda Hai can't match the epic storytelling appeal of SS Rajamouli's Baahubali films.Forbes

    Bhai The Global Local Star.??

    1. @legend... Aamir doesn't have international, it is just his movies and story btw he has some in china which has no guarantee... ? u know well about chinese products... ? no guarantee of that... ? ? ? ? ?

  22. Another Sadakchaap masala movie of Non Actor
    Masala Hai To Bhojpuri Star Hai
    Masala Nahi To Fusselight Hai.

  23. Bollywood Arena Is it true that Sallu did a film titled Mariegold since he loved Mariegold biscuits?

      1. @Fake Megastar copy cat still mangal pandey was not as big a joke as veer and marigold..??????????

    1. What about mangal pandey??btw TOH mein bhi look same hi hai if you know what i mean?? @legend my foot?

  24. Salman only competes with industry legends like Dino Morea, Armaan Kohli and Jr. B in terms of acting.

    1. Lol aur aap toh jaanwar se bhi compare nahi kiye jaa sakte hai agar tujhe jaanwar kaha toh jaanwar ko gaali dena ho jayega?? @legend my foot

  25. all salman record openers has come on national holidays. on working days in recent times he has not even come close to a record opener. the last time he came close to a record opener on a non holiday was ready which came 6 years back . after that he has fell well short of a record opener whenever he has come on a working day. dabangg2 released at the similar time of tzh opened only 19 crpore net while record was 31crore net. kick opened 25 crore while record was 32 crore. bb 27 crore while record was 36 crore. while jai ho and tb were below expectations. it is not easy to give record openers or even come close to that on a working day as multilexes finds it difficult to hold collections throughout the day. on national holidays even ajay has bumper openers so it's not very difficult for a star like salman to give record openers. only aamir has managed to give record opener on a working day recently which makes him the biggest star.

    going by how salman films has opened on a working day tzh will open around 32-33 crore net. if tzh opens around 35-39 crore net then only i will accept salman and aamir is equal. and i am today giving a promise to everyone if tzh really touches or surprasses the 40 crore net on opening day i will accept salman is the biggest star.

    1. @honest man
      I agree ? with u bro..
      Fantastic analysis...

      If TZH touches or crosses 40cr then I will also accept Salman is bigger than Aamir

      Salman is holiday opener
      Aamir is holiday/non holiday opener

      Wait for masala TOH...

      1. Sorry but TZH has to cross 45 cr to make Salman bigger than aamir. If it crosses 40 cr on non holiday then both aamir and Salman are equal in stardom. Period..

    2. get your facts right bickhead..
      most of his openers whr before Eid without muslim audiences..

    3. @dishonest khan, illiterate dabangg 2's opening was a record at that time, don't know how people like u and Parshaya write here without any knowledge, and keep barking sh|t things.... ? ? ? ? ? if u don't know anything then why to comment here, once parshya said that ETT was released on the day of eid... ? don't know how u come up with such things, where did u get these things and knowledge... ? ? ? ? Pure illiterates and they (srk n aamir fan) call themselves literate... ? but it's opposite here.... ?

    4. @dishonest man, illiterate dabangg 2’s opening was a record at that time, don’t know how people like u and Parshaya write here without any knowledge, and keep barking sh|t things…. ? ? ? ? ? if u don’t know anything then why to comment here, once parshya said that ETT was released on the day of eid… ? don’t know how u come up with such things, where did u get these things and knowledge… ? ? ? ? Pure illiterates and they (srk n aamir fan) call themselves literate… ? but it’s opposite here…. ?

    5. @dishonest u r insulting salman by comparing him with aamir, he has zero stardom and fan following, and when u talk about opening he is nowhere near Salman Khan.... Except dhoom which was the biggest brand he has no 30 crs opener, how dare to compare salman with aamir u illiterates.

  26. Nd tum kbhi bhi nahi sudhrogi parshya aunty bag pack ho gye tumhare parshya aunty?? @parshya aunty

  27. @honest man
    you have been blabbering too much nonsense. why don't you compare dangal with tubelight then? acc to boi tubelight real value was 25cr opening.
    anyone can give big opening with sequel/franchise films. varun dhawan can also give 40cr opening to ett sequel.

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