Box Office Predictions Update: JHMS, TEPK, Baadshaho

The last few months have been extremely poor for Bollywood. Most likely the release of Baahubali 2 has changed the overall perception of Hindi film audience. The upcoming films are not promising either.

Mubarakan: Anil Kapoor and Arjun Kapoor starrer look like an outdated film. The trailer received mixed response and the music is also average, to say the least. There is not much interest among the general audience. A low opening day is on the cards.

Jab Harry Met Sejal: The trailer for SRK starrer was finally released a few days back. It has received a positive response from the trade and audience. However, it is nowhere close to his last release Raees. Also, it looks more like a class oriented film and can struggle in masses. The overall music is good but a traditional chartbuster is missing.

Toilet Ek Prem Katha: The buzz for TEPK has also decreased in last few days. Probably the makers should not have released the trailer that much earlier. The music is mostly situational. The film is being promoted on a large scale but it is not helping much. Look like that another Akshay Kumar will fall short of 15 crores on the opening day.

Baadshaho: The biggest problem for Baadshaho will be its genre. Thriller films have limited takers in India and only a few films have been able to become a big grosser. Though Baadshaho teaser has received a positive response and the film will get a good opening in Maharashtra belt and other mass areas which will ensure a decent opening day.

A few small films have also been added. Bariley Ki Barfi is almost a non-starrer film just like Meri Pyaari Bindu and Behen Hogi Teri. So the opening day will be in the same range but the lifetime can change depending on word of mouth. Haseena Parkar deals with a controversial subject which might create some awareness. A Gentleman is a remake of Hollywood film even though the makers have not revealed it. It can be tricky as most of Hollywood remakes have not fared well at the Indian box office.

1st Day Box Office Prediction

Tiger Zinda Hai1077938.50-
OK Jaanu46744.704.08
Jolly LLB 2865714.5013.20
Commando 235243.804.25
Badrinath Ki Dulhania766711.012.25
Naam Shabana46333.405.12
Begum Jaan26223.203.94
Baahubali 2-9-930.5041.0
Meri Pyaari Bindu56222.101.75
Sarkar 356122.802.20
Half Girlfriend66758.8010.27
Hindi Medium37532.202.81
Jagga Jasoos877510.108.57
Munna Michael77658.506.65
Jab Harry Met Sejal967718.015.25
Toilet Ek Prem Katha876612.8013.10
Bareilly Ki Barfi35321.802.42
A Gentleman66646.04.04
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan 37342.02.71
Haseena Parkar35221.351.35
Judwaa 2 767715.016.10
Secret Superstar7767--
Golmaal Again8768--

Lifetime Box Office Prediction

MovieTrade BuzzLBPActual
Secret Superstar76564
Golmaal Again8170206
Tiger Zinda Hai10325-
OK Jaanu32623
Jolly LLB 28108115
Commando 232624
Badrinath Ki Dulhania7102117
Naam Shabana33136
Begum Jaan32220
Fast and Furious 898594
Baahubali 210380510
Meri Pyaari Bindu21210
Sarkar 321110
Half Girlfriend65456
Jagga Jasoos56858
Munna Michael53635
Jab Harry Met Sajal77265
Toilet Ek Prem Katha7154135
Bareilly Ki Barfi32634
A Gentleman52221
Shubh Mangal Saavdhan 43643
Haseena Parkar1128
Judwaa 2 7125138

79 comments on “Box Office Predictions Update: JHMS, TEPK, Baadshaho”

  1. See I told you....JHMS wont open huge.

    Stardom is not opening in today's time. U need good film, appeal, trailer and promos for opening. People like @honest man don't understand this

    1. Fbp Lbp. .verdict
      Mubarkan. 6. 40. flop
      Jhms. 18. 125. flop
      Tepk. 15. 140. Super hit
      Badshao. 11. 90. Hit

      1. Waah jhms flop at 125crores.waah waah.films ki econmics bhi pata hai jhms ka?akshay kumar ka fan chala aya.abey 140crores tepk?kuch toh sharam kar bhai

        1. 140 kamaegi to Sam Ka kya bat hai lallu
          If jhms collect less than 120 Cr it will be flop but hope it will become hit because this year success ratio of Bollywood films are too low

    2. Stardom hoga tb na @sayar

      ??? oppning day pr stardom nhi tb kb hota h ,

      bhai , good content , song se to bad me b chal jati h....

      par oppning day par sirf Stardom???

      now , Akshay ka stardom badh rha , usi Ratio me SRK ka gir rha h.....

      TEPK super hit.....

      music situational h , dangal ki tarah...... ....... ....movie dekhne k baad song or b badhiya lgne lgenge???

      1. Mahaveer
        Abey gawaar
        Yes opening stardom pai depend karta hai
        Lekin puri tarike se nahi
        Pre release buzz vi ek cheej hota hai
        Appeal vi ek cheej hoti hai
        Fan solo 18cr
        Raees clash 20cr
        Talassh 13cr
        Dhoom 3 ka 36cr
        Aisa kyu????

    3. Wait till the release of both films?

      @bollyarena are you serious 18cr?

      First day for JHMS: 25-30cr

      Lifetime: 170+ depending on critics and WOM!

    4. Every flop Bollywood is giving out so far is good for JHMS and TEPK because audience is wanting for good cinema which since Hindi medium has not really been there!

      So if JHMS or TEPK clicks then sky is the limit!

      TEPK can't really flop unless it's an absolute crap movie, should do 110+ cr but overseas it won't do anything maybe 10-15cr!

    5. LMAO.. some months ago u were barking that Opening is sign of real stardom, Ab kya ho gaya ?! HNY ki collection ghata di gayi usi ka shock lag gaya kya ?


  2. Your Baadshao prediction is spot on
    Only three thriller films have been blockbusters in India-Darr, Baazigar and Agni Sakshi. SRK holds 2 out of them.
    LOL on those who say he does only rom-coms.

  3. SRK in his worst phase is still the 3rd biggest initial puller in India after Aamir and Salman. In 90s he was in top-3 with Sunny Deol and Govinda. He was in top-3 in 2000s with Aamir and Hritik. He has never gone down of top-3 in initial pull.

    Coming to Salman, Akki/Ajay and Bobby had better initial pull than Salman in 90s.
    Saif had bigger pull than Salman in 2000s.


  4. 18cr in 3200screens(expected) for this urban class genre is better than 20cr in 4500screens, i guess.
    YJHD was not an urban film-it was a love story. love story and rom com are different genres. hope u guys understand. for genre contact BOI

    1. Yes, so many people confuse rom-coms with love stories. YJHD was a proper love story blended with a coming of age angle. Badrinath Ki Dulhania and Toilet Ek Prem Katha are love stories with a social message. Even Ae Dil Hai Mushkil was a love story though it was more for the mature audience. JHMS is looking more of an urban rom-com film from the promos. But it is not Imtiaz Ali style as his films are mostly layered and have a strong backstory. There is a lot of drama. But the general audience will see it as a rom-com anyway after watching the trailer.

      1. @Bollyarena Yup. Agreed. Thank you.
        Also I think marketing has been very poor this time unlike any other srk films. Worst marketing strategy by SRK and RCE.
        And regarding Imtiyaz films, they are good but audience don't understand. Salman, Aamir, Akki are doing films which everyone understands.

      2. Baadshaho interest 5? Of all the 4 movies you predicted the songs alone have more likes then all the 4. You tube 1song has 11 million views in less than 24 hours , The teaser response was not good but superb!! You are being biased oh i forgot its KJo pr site oops.

    1. It is a copy of a movie named, This means War, starring reese Witherspoon, Chris pine and tom Hardy. A 2012 movie.

      1. I think u have watched this means war both are different concepts this means war was love triangle action and a gentelman is identity mistake

  5. As I said before, Toilet trailer released way too early and I don't even think it will do 120 cr. Trade is overhyping Akshay's latest films, and we've seen that Jolly LLB 2 couldn't live up to expectations. Akshay may be consistent lately, but still not able to deliver a huge grosser.

    For JHMS a lot will depend on reviews and WOM. 18-20 cr opening for an urban film is good, let's hope that content will also be there. Maybe the next romantic song will be that needed chartbuster.

    1. @clemk which idiot says that Jolly llb 2 couldnt live up to expectations. Before release some told that it was a 80cr movie but it did a business of around 120cr . In month of feburary 120cr was just outstanding .
      And now Toilet EPK is releasing on independence day weekend . So 120cr plus total is on cards.

      1. first of all JHMS has no content..... second the story is irrelevant,,,,, Anushka Sharma has her boyfriend and soon she will marry....because she lost her Ring ....she met a guide,,,she goes to Disco///Party with him....sleep in the same room....Is this possible in reality????? A girlfriend will spend her time mostly with her boyfriend... but here we are seeing a movie thats not make sense..... Chalte Chalte was also the same and was a huge flop,,,,TEPK is a movie with social message where AKKI fight for his country with politicians for the development ,,,,TEPK will be a hit because of small budget.... BAADSHAHO....Ajay is always best in action movies but the story of the movie has not been disclosed yet....but if the movie has content then definitely a hit for Ajay Devgan is on the card.....TZH will only bring collections due to festivals as Salmaan mostly depends on festivals to get hit......
        IN OVERALL:

        1. Kitne bare jahil gawar ho dikh gaya ..re pagal trailer me dekha nahi donk alag room me rehta hai or saath ghum ghum ke pyaar hone lag jata hai ...jitna dimaag rehga utna hi na bolega tu jahil

          1. Please dont fool the public.... the story has already been revealed.... Indeed,TEPK has a new concept.....SRK is choosing the wrong script... the character which SRK is portraying is the same as CHALTE CHALTE,,, the difference is only the ring....SRK always does the same type og love story....Audiences are smart today.They know what is kept in the store by watching the trailers and promos......

        2. Lol... Ready was a Blockbuster..... oh I forgot that it was released on Diwali, oh nonono it was xmas film ooops sorry it was Eid release.... Abey Jhandus... Salman is releasing 2 films in year and that too on the biggest holidays xmas and Eid... but ur actors are struggling to get dates and clashing each other even on nonholiday... ye kaafi hai aukat dikhane ka tere actor ki aur Salman k megastar dom ka... Jal Jaa Jal Jaa maine suna hai log bade log se hi jalte hain... apne se chhota se koi nahi j jalta... heheheh

      2. Are you kidding ? All medias were expecting 15+ cr opening and minimum 130 cr because of excellent pre reports and franchise factor.
        Btw no month is dull at the boxoffice, only content matters, remember Baahubali 2. Even Raees + Kaabil combined did earn almost 240 cr in a month that was supposed to be dull.

      3. Jolly llb2 has done 108cr , not 120cr Canada caluculater se calculate Kar raha hai kya

        1. Abe oh flop tubelight k fan . Tumhara lallu khan to eid pe 120 cr nahi kr pata aur jisne dull period mein 117cr kamaya hai uspe tum ungli krte ho . Shame in u .
          Jolly did 117cr during normal weekend nd tubelight did same collections during eid. Hahahaha bhaad mein gaya sallu ka stardom.
          Poor salman fan .

          1. According to boi its 107cr Canadian flopstar's fan.64 flops,18 disasters​ dene wale star's fan salman's niche and negative wom Wali movie ko apna best se compare karte ho.tzh aane do 3din mein akki ke highest grossing movie ko cross karega,wait and watch.

        2. @real Salman fan . Pitty on u. Tumhara lallu star to flop ho gaya . Aur tum doosro I baare mein bolte ho . Sharam aani chahiye tumhe. (Jinke ghar shishe k hote hai vo doosro k gharo mein pathar nahi maarte .)
          Idiot Salman fan . Flip Sallu flop fusslight nd flop sallu k lallu fans.

          1. one flop in 8 years and u all are losing ur $hits hahaha very Fun... yahi hota hai Jab koi actor kisi fans ki actor ki le raha hota hai to uski jalti rehti hai aur phirr uske 5 continous BBs ko bhul k aur last 8 years mein 8 bbs ko bhul k ek flop ki ratta lagaye hota hai Lol...

  6. My predictions
    Jhms-120 to 125 crores
    Tepk-140 to 150 crores
    Gentleman-50 crores
    Baadshaho-90-100 crores
    Mubarakan-35 to 40 crores

    1. @abhijeet good work . I agree with u .
      My predictions :-
      Mubarkan - 45cr
      JHMS - 145cr
      TEPK - 160 cr
      Gentleman - 70 cr
      Baadshao - 85cr

      1. Kya bhai tum log Gentelman ko 50-70 bol the ho, It can not be more than 30 crore affair, at all. TEPK - 150 Crore JHMS : 100-120, Baadshaho : 90-110

  7. You are underestimating #Baadshaho It will collect 110cr+ Toilet will do business between 120cr-130cr right

  8. It just seems that all the people are actually failing miserably to predict what or why I movie will work, in the end of the day it is the general audience that will decide to go spend money or not.
    Nothing to take away from JHMS, yes it doesn't look like a cracker of a film as of now the way it has been presented to us. But, it might surprise.
    A lot of people are just writing TEPK to be an out and out winner and I really am not getting why! Coz, it seems strange to give thumbs up to the movie when it's lacking the commercial factors you guys have explained above (chartbuster music, social message, etc..)
    Let's see who brings what to the screen and people will decide the final verdict. For me, it's not Bahubali or any secret formula everyone is talking about. It's just that a good story told in a good way is missing. Now If that be JHMS or TEPK or for that matter anything else it'll work.

  9. Very eager to know How much opening JHMS takes.there is a big gap between SRK's 2nd highest opener CE - 30.5 crore and 3rd highest Dilwale - 20.37 crore. He never given opening between 21- 30 crore.Dilwale , Raees would have collected in this range with solo release.But FAN having solo release only collected 19 crore.now he have a solo release on proper working day .so it would be interesting to see how JHMS opens at box office.

    1. With corporate bookings it will take 18-20 crs opening but without corporate I mean normal release like PK, BB, Dangal, sorry sorry these r big festive releases, we should talk about non holiday releases like Dabangg 2, YJHD, Etc. JPMH (Jab Perv[e]rt met Ho[e]) can take opening of 12-14 crs.... Yesss this is real aukat of SRK...

      After DDLJ exposure about its run Maratha Mandir, SRK film's opening has also been exposed...
      SRK is nothing without Corporate bookings...
      The real openers Are Salman and Tingu... even floppy (akki) is better than SRK

  10. A regional film Baahubali has destroyed another cinema-Bollywood totally………. Only TZH can save Bollywood now…………
    Some will tell TUBELIGHT. TL mai action nai tha..TZH has everything…..masala,action,songs,…sequel power……………………

    TZH=400cr in India=ATBB
    Thugs of hindoooostan=180cr=disaster..............

  11. My predictions
    Jhms-60 cr Disaster
    Tepk-90 cr Hit
    Baadshaho-70 cr Average
    Mubarakan-30 cr Disaster

  12. If tepk opened with 15 Cr opening still it is good for content driven film I think lifetime of tepk will be more than 130+ Cr

    Hope jhms and tepk both will become hit because this year Bollywood successratio is too low there is only 3 clean hits bkd, jolly,Hindi medium

    1. Even though we are always at the opposite side I totally agree with ur comment.We need more hot movies only them this industry will survive.

    2. According to akki fans akki is big star than khans.so in that case report should open bigger than jhms.it's akki and srk's 2nd movie this year,both are nonholiday release .kya bolte ho.ho jayein challenge

    3. My prediction Jhms-18cr
      Because opening required stardom.isiliye with all the negativity jhms will open huge but with even universal appeal tepk will open low.because the lead star is 2007born and 2008 dead star
      @Bollyarena, please post my prediction because I have given my opinion.

  13. Thanks @rustom tepk will beat jhms buzz is there story is there and most importantly akki who is really doing great films with social message

  14. Box office tension should be for producers. I just want my time well spent while watching the movie. Three movies that I am planning to watch :

    1. Dunkirk (Reason : Nolan obviously);

    2. JHMS (Reason : SRK. Take him out and I would have most probably skipped this one); and

    3. Baadshaho (Reason : Team of OUATIM joining hands again)

    The above three I will definitely watch. Others depend upon reviews.

    Regarding box office, best wishes for all movies.

      1. Hardcore fans will watch their star's movies in any case but the neutral audience will always pick and choose. Like I watched Salman's Dabang and BB (and enjoyed both) but skipped Bodyguard, Ready, Tubelight etc.

        For neutral audience, the trailer/promos should be great enough which for me hasn't been the case with JHMS. Raees's teaser was fantastic and the trailer/dialogue promos were good. Fan's trailer was super awesome. But JHMS promos have been subdued.

        If not the trailer then the neutral audience can still come in the theatres if the reviews/WoM are overall positive. Hoping that proves to be the case with JHMS.

  15. many r saying there is no surprise in jhms that is normal rom-com ,bt there is many twists in ths movie that ,two lines guid who is missed,n what u seeking is seeking u ,n imtiyaz ali srk anushka that is enough for opening then it will require gud wom ,n tepk is nothing secret in its all r knows that swatch bharat concept ,5 mins story ko puri movie dekhni pdegi bas akki k comedy is movie ko aage le ja sakta h otherwise it will be flop,badshaoo would be gud thriller bt family n girls ignore this movie so it wont fair well ,bkb can so surprise

  16. waiting for secret superstar.. want to see how aamir waves magic without Christmas release.. it will be interesting..
    Aamir Fans take wud b..
    If film is a run away hit.. c what aamir can do..
    If film flops.. arrey aamir was in special role.. hehe..

  17. Baadshaho will cross 100cr for sure...buzz of Baadshaho is high...music is super hit

  18. Lifetime expected (Max collection)
    Mubaraka 45-50 cr (no buzz)
    JHMS 150-175 cr
    TEPK 130-150 cr
    GENTLEMAN 60-75 cr
    BADSHAHO 125-150 cr

    Except mubaraka all other movies are having little to more buzz depending on promos,trailer,songs & starcast.I have predicted collection on basis of positive WOM.Still boxoffice is unpredictable,with positive wom with universal content film can go to more higher numbers that we will be known only after film release.

  19. TEPK opening of 15 crs will be much better than of JPMH's 20 crs coz out of those 20 crs. atleast 6-7 crs will be booked by corporates... whereas akki doesn't depend on Corporate bookings.

    1. Hahaha Abe gawaar 5 6cr ka corporate booking hahaha dekho isko ..mushkil se 1cr ka hoga ..or sb bara bara movie ka corporate booking rehta hai samjhaa toilet ek Prem Katha ka bhi corporate booking hai tubelight ka corporate booking tha or vo bas 1stday rehta hai

  20. @ aamir khan, 1st tell your gangu teli Salman to give 20 crore opening in clash.120 crore actor k fan !

  21. @Aamir Khan
    Oh Wow! Ab new excuse. Corporate booking huh??
    Abey fool, all big films have corporate booking of at least 2-4cr. Get that into your tiny brain

    And dont bring those Chindicine statements here.

  22. Some people are saying JHMS will earn 200cr the movie which has got no hype at all and btw nobody is interested in romcom even some of my friends who are also Srk's fan will not gonna watch this movie.Overall TEPK-130-150cr,JHMS-120-130cr,Badshaho-130-150cr.Though the opening of JHMSwill be around 18-20cr bt after one week it will be crushed by TEPK.

  23. JHMS My Predictions
    Positive wom
    Mon-23cr(raksha Bandhan particial holiday)
    Week 1-145 to 150cr
    2nd Week
    Tues-8cr(national holiday)
    2nd week-43cr
    Remaining week-15cr

    Mixed wom

    Mon-14cr(raksha Bandhan particial holiday)
    Week 1-110 to 112cr
    2nd Week
    Tues-6cr(national holiday)
    2nd week-23cr
    Remaining week-8cr

    Negetive wom
    Mon-10cr(raksha Bandhan particial holiday)
    Week 1-75 to 78cr
    2nd Week
    Tues-3cr(national holiday)
    2nd week-17cr
    Remaining week-4cr

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